Tierr@_de_N@die: Different approaches in the automotive industry to the same problem but when automakers do not hesitate to spend huge amounts of money two clear things arise: the first one, there is an enormous potential market where to earn money. The second one, we can discuss the date when cars will be fully autonomous, but no doubts that the year is coming and you will see it. Self-driving car's technology will arrive smoothly. At the very beginning, cars will allow autonomy under specific driving conditions (geo-limited, one motorway lane, under supervision,…) but with each new software release, as Tesla is already doing, one day you will come across with a car that is driving alone.
It makes sense that despite the massive amounts of venture capital in the space, self-driving car technology is still a long way off before they become available to people at any legitimate scale.
The other consideration is that self-driving adoption timelines depend heavily on the regulatory developments in the next few years. Autonomous vehicles require both the right legal and technological frameworks.
Source (emerj.com): The Self-Driving Car Timeline – Predictions from the Top 11 Global Automakers